| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.5% | 33% | +12.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 72.7% | 65% | +7.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.4% | 47% | +12.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 50% | +8.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.9% | 27.9% | 28.2% |
| xgboost | 35.8% | 36.2% | 28.0% |
| logistic | 35.9% | 28.7% | 35.5% |
| Antalyaspor | Kayserispor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1472 | 1487 |
| Surface Elo | 1472 | 1487 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 149 | 150 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 4 W · 4 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Boluspor | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Van Spor FK | 3 - 0 | W |
| 17 May | H | Kocaelispor | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 May | A | Galatasaray | 2 - 4 | L |
| 03 May | H | Alanyaspor | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Manisa Futbol Kulubu | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Mardin 1969 Spor | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 May | H | Konyaspor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 May | A | Alanyaspor | 1 - 3 | L |
| 03 May | H | Eyupspor | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Kayserispor | 1 - 0 | Antalyaspor |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Antalyaspor | 1 - 1 | Kayserispor |
| 12 May 2025 | Kayserispor | 3 - 1 | Antalyaspor |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Antalyaspor | 2 - 0 | Kayserispor |
| 29 Jan 2024 | Kayserispor | 1 - 1 | Antalyaspor |
| 02 Sep 2023 | Antalyaspor | 1 - 1 | Kayserispor |
| 11 Mar 2023 | Antalyaspor | 4 - 0 | Kayserispor |
| 11 Sep 2022 | Kayserispor | 1 - 0 | Antalyaspor |
| 24 Apr 2022 | Antalyaspor | 1 - 1 | Kayserispor |
| 05 Dec 2021 | Kayserispor | 2 - 0 | Antalyaspor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.84 | 54.4% | 14 Oct 06:15 |