OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

⚽ Serie B · Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:00 UTC · finished

Carrarese 0.80 2 - 1 2.00 Modena

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	46.7%	56%	-9.6%	✗ miss
DC	Draw or away	73.5%	85%	-11.5%	✗ miss
DNB	Away (DNB)	61.2%	77%	-15.7%	✗ miss
O/U 2.5	Under 2.5	56.3%	51%	+5.1%	✗ miss
BTTS	BTTS no	52.1%	no line		✗ miss

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Draw	Away
poisson	31.9%	31.8%	36.3%
xgboost	32.3%	27.8%	39.9%
logistic	24.3%	29.8%	46.0%

Inputs the models saw

Carrarese: last 5

Modena: last 5

Head to head

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Bet365	1X2	away	1.86	53.8%	17 Oct 14:00
Bet365	1X2	draw	3.30	30.3%	17 Oct 14:00
Bet365	1X2	home	4.33	23.1%	17 Oct 14:00
Bet365	O/U 2.5	over	1.80	55.6%	17 Oct 14:00
Bet365	O/U 2.5	under	2.00	50.0%	17 Oct 14:00
SportyBet	1X2	away	1.79	55.9%	17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	draw	3.60	27.8%	17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	4.50	22.2%	17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	O/U 2.5	over	1.82	54.9%	17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	O/U 2.5	under	1.95	51.3%	17 Oct 06:15

Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC