| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.0% | 88% | -24.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.3% | 45.6% |
| logistic | 27.3% | 72.7% |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1648 | 2001 |
| Surface Elo | 1648 | 2001 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Sebastian Baez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Remy Bertola | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Etienne Donnet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Etienne Donnet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Jan Lennard Struff | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Rodrigo Alujas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Alex Michelsen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Alex Michelsen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Nov 2022 | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.14 | 87.7% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.25 | 16.0% | 26 Oct 06:15 |