| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.6% | 55% | -6.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 76.4% | 79% | -2.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.4% | 73% | -11.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 57% | +2.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.8% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.7% | 23.2% | 22.2% |
| xgboost | 38.8% | 25.6% | 35.5% |
| logistic | 39.4% | 28.2% | 32.4% |
| Norwich | Portsmouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1523 | 1521 |
| Surface Elo | 1523 | 1521 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.90 | 1.22 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.70 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.44 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 14 Oct | H | Southampton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Southampton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Swansea | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Swansea | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Reading | 3 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Sheffield Utd | 3 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Sheffield Utd | 3 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Southampton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Southampton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Blackburn | 2 - 2 | D |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Norwich | 1 - 1 | Portsmouth |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Portsmouth | 1 - 2 | Norwich |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Norwich | 3 - 5 | Portsmouth |
| 10 Dec 2024 | Portsmouth | 0 - 0 | Norwich |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.10 | 24.4% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.76 | 56.8% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.07 | 24.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.81 | 26.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.92 | 52.1% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.76 | 56.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |