OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-11-08

NFL · Sunday 08 November 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished

Indianapolis Colts – 23 - 27 – Dallas Cowboys

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	50.0%	no line		✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	50.0%	50.0%

Inputs the models saw

	Indianapolis Colts	Dallas Cowboys
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.06
form diff	-0.12
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.60
opponent strength diff	0.07
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-11-07T18:00:00+00:00

Indianapolis Colts: last 5

01 Nov	A	Jacksonville Jaguars	7 - 42	L
25 Oct	A	Minnesota Vikings	10 - 16	L
18 Oct	H	Tennessee Titans	20 - 26	L
11 Oct	A	Pittsburgh Steelers	22 - 34	L
04 Oct	A	Washington Commanders	30 - 13	W

Dallas Cowboys: last 5

01 Nov	H	Arizona Cardinals	30 - 33	L
27 Oct	A	Philadelphia Eagles	38 - 21	W
19 Oct	A	Green Bay Packers	13 - 23	L
09 Oct	H	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	16 - 24	L
04 Oct	A	Houston Texans	34 - 30	W

Head to head

05 Dec 2022	Dallas Cowboys	54 - 19	Indianapolis Colts
16 Dec 2018	Indianapolis Colts	23 - 0	Dallas Cowboys
21 Dec 2014	Dallas Cowboys	42 - 7	Indianapolis Colts
05 Dec 2010	Indianapolis Colts	35 - 38	Dallas Cowboys
19 Nov 2006	Dallas Cowboys	21 - 14	Indianapolis Colts
17 Nov 2002	Indianapolis Colts	20 - 3	Dallas Cowboys

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	2.98	33.6%	08 Nov 14:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.44	69.4%	08 Nov 14:20

Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC