| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.0% | 40% | +14.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 46.5% | 53.4% |
| logistic | 43.2% | 56.8% |
| Abdullah Shelbayh | Li Tu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1540 | 1580 |
| Surface Elo | 1540 | 1580 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Daniil Ostapenkov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Li Tu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | James Trotter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 May | H | Lukas Neumayer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 May | H | Tommaso Compagnucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Apr | A | Fajing Sun | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | Li Tu |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 29 Sep 06:15 |