| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 81.4% | 78% | +3.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 69.4% | 30.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 94.2% | 5.8% |
| logistic | 66.6% | 33.4% |
| Mirra Andreeva | Leylah Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1907 | 1660 |
| Surface Elo | 1907 | 1660 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | H | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Coco Gauff | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Anastasia Potapova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Alycia Parks | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Kyoka Okamura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Talia Gibson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Maja Chwalinska | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Mirra Andreeva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Leylah Fernandez | 2 - 0 | Mirra Andreeva |
| 02 Aug 2026 | Leylah Fernandez | 2 - 0 | Mirra Andreeva |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | Mirra Andreeva |
| 09 Oct 2023 | Leylah Fernandez | 2 - 1 | Mirra Andreeva |
| 24 Apr 2023 | Leylah Fernandez | 0 - 2 | Mirra Andreeva |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.85 | 26.0% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 25 Sep 06:15 |