| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.8% | 77% | -14.1% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.9% | 37.1% |
| logistic | 68.3% | 31.7% |
| Arthur Fils | Jaume Munar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2034 | 1863 |
| Surface Elo | 2034 | 1863 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 9 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Pavel Kotov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Pavel Kotov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Valentin Vacherot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Federico Cina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Federico Cina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 May 2025 | Arthur Fils | 3 - 2 | Jaume Munar |
| 15 Jul 2024 | Arthur Fils | 2 - 1 | Jaume Munar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.60 | 27.8% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.31 | 76.3% | 21 Oct 06:15 |