| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.1% | 51% | +1.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.4% | 82% | -3.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 71.2% | 72% | -1.1% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 43% | +16.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.6% | 31.5% | 27.0% |
| xgboost | 53.1% | 23.4% | 23.5% |
| logistic | 55.5% | 27.2% | 17.3% |
| Tenerife | Cadiz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1427 | 1330 |
| Surface Elo | 1427 | 1330 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 4 D |
| 25 Sep | H | UD Anaza | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | CD Ciudad de Lucena | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Castellon | 0 - 5 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Castellon | 0 - 5 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Leganes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Girona | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Girona | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Las Palmas | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Sep | A | Almeria | 2 - 3 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Valladolid | 1 - 1 | D |
| 23 Mar 2025 | Tenerife | 2 - 1 | Cadiz |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Cadiz | 2 - 2 | Tenerife |
| 27 Jun 2020 | Cadiz | 0 - 2 | Tenerife |
| 17 Nov 2019 | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | Cadiz |
| 16 Feb 2019 | Cadiz | 2 - 0 | Tenerife |
| 29 Sep 2018 | Tenerife | 1 - 0 | Cadiz |
| 27 May 2018 | Cadiz | 1 - 1 | Tenerife |
| 21 Dec 2017 | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | Cadiz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.10 | 24.4% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.97 | 50.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.35 | 42.5% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.55 | 64.5% | 25 Sep 06:15 |