OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-11-06
🎾 ATP Challenger Villa Maria, Argentina Men Singles · Friday 06 November 2026, 15:10 UTC · finished
Juan Manuel La Serna 1.20 2 - 0 2.40 Carlos Maria Zarate
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 64.9%65%-0.3%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov67.2%32.8%
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost56.3%43.6%
logistic71.8%28.2%
Inputs the models saw
Juan Manuel La SernaCarlos Maria Zarate
Elo (pre-match)16571571
Surface Elo16571571
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.202.40
Form trend-0.900.00
Season points per game2.101.75
Season goals for / game1.301.17
Season goals against / game0.901.08
Rest days11
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W0 W · 0 D
Juan Manuel La Serna: last 5
04 NovHHernan Casanova2 - 1W
03 NovHMateo Del Pino2 - 1W
02 NovAGenaro Alberto Olivieri2 - 0W
02 NovHNicolas Kicker2 - 0W
02 NovACarlos Maria Zarate2 - 0W
Carlos Maria Zarate: last 5
04 NovALucio Ratti2 - 0W
02 NovHGonzalo Villanueva2 - 0W
02 NovHJuan Manuel La Serna0 - 2L
02 NovHLucio Ratti2 - 0W
02 NovHGonzalo Villanueva2 - 0W
Head to head
02 Nov 2026Carlos Maria Zarate0 - 2Juan Manuel La Serna
23 Mar 2026Carlos Maria Zarate1 - 2Juan Manuel La Serna
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.3542.5%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5664.1%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:53 UTC