OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ League One · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Burton 1.00 2 - 1 1.40 Leyton Orient
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 43.8%40%+4.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 74.1%77%-3.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 55.8%55%+0.7%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.6%54%-0.5%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 51.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson34.3%26.8%38.9%
xgboost41.0%29.7%29.3%
logistic40.8%29.6%29.6%
Inputs the models saw
BurtonLeyton Orient
Elo (pre-match)14681453
Surface Elo14681453
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.001.40
Form trend0.300.30
Season points per game1.171.27
Season goals for / game1.331.36
Season goals against / game1.501.09
Rest days32
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W1 W · 3 D
Burton: last 5
20 OctHBradford0 - 0D
20 OctHBradford0 - 0D
17 OctAPeterborough United2 - 2D
17 OctAPeterboro2 - 2D
10 OctADoncaster0 - 1L
Leyton Orient: last 5
21 OctAReading0 - 1L
21 OctAReading0 - 1L
17 OctHBlackpool2 - 0W
17 OctHBlackpool2 - 0W
10 OctABradford0 - 0D
Head to head
02 May 2026Leyton Orient2 - 2Burton
29 Nov 2025Burton0 - 4Leyton Orient
01 Apr 2025Burton2 - 1Leyton Orient
14 Dec 2024Leyton Orient0 - 0Burton
17 Feb 2024Leyton Orient1 - 2Burton
28 Oct 2023Burton0 - 0Leyton Orient
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.2544.4%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.8235.5%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.8055.6%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.0050.0%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.7037.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.6038.5%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9252.1%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8554.0%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:15 UTC