| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.6% | 77% | -12.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.9% | 52.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 15.7% | 84.2% |
| logistic | 48.6% | 51.4% |
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Marko Topo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1472 | 1507 |
| Surface Elo | 1472 | 1507 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 34 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Aug | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Jul | A | Keegan Smith | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Miguel Tobon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Jun | A | Khololwam Montsi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Vitaliy Sachko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Valerio Aboian | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Miguel Damas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Carlos Taberner | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.30 | 76.9% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.30 | 30.3% | 27 Sep 06:15 |