OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-26
🇫🇷 Ligue 1 · Monday 26 October 2026, 19:30 UTC · finished
Paris Saint Germain 2.40 2 - 0 2.00 Lyon
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 59.9%69%-9.2%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 82.5%89%-6.4%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 76.8%85%-8.5%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.9%72%-14.9%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 57.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson61.0%20.8%18.2%
xgboost58.5%18.0%23.5%
logistic66.7%20.4%13.0%
Inputs the models saw
Paris Saint GermainLyon
Elo (pre-match)18751750
Surface Elo18751750
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.402.00
Form trend-0.600.10
Season points per game2.002.00
Season goals for / game2.001.86
Season goals against / game1.290.71
Rest days98
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W2 W · 1 D
Paris Saint Germain: last 5
20 OctHBarcelona4 - 2W
17 OctAStrasbourg3 - 1W
17 OctAStrasbourg3 - 1W
14 OctAManchester City4 - 2W
10 OctHLe Mans3 - 1W
Lyon: last 5
22 OctAHoffenheim0 - 3L
18 OctHNice2 - 1W
18 OctHNice2 - 1W
15 OctHCrystal Palace3 - 2W
09 OctALens1 - 2L
Head to head
19 Apr 2026Paris Saint Germain1 - 2Lyon
09 Nov 2025Lyon2 - 3Paris Saint Germain
23 Feb 2025Lyon2 - 3Paris Saint Germain
15 Dec 2024Paris Saint Germain3 - 1Lyon
21 Apr 2024Paris Saint Germain4 - 1Lyon
03 Sep 2023Lyon1 - 4Paris Saint Germain
02 Apr 2023Paris Saint Germain0 - 1Lyon
18 Sep 2022Lyon0 - 1Paris Saint Germain
09 Jan 2022Lyon1 - 1Paris Saint Germain
19 Sep 2021Paris Saint Germain2 - 1Lyon
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away9.0011.1%26 Oct 19:30
Bet3651X2draw5.5018.2%26 Oct 19:30
Bet3651X2home1.3076.9%26 Oct 19:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.3375.2%26 Oct 19:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.4029.4%26 Oct 19:30
SportyBet1X2away7.2213.9%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.8817.0%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4170.9%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3872.5%26 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.2031.2%26 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC