| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 77.7% | 67% | +10.6% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.4% | 31.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.5% | 29.4% |
| logistic | 75.6% | 24.4% |
| Taylor Fritz | Holger Rune | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2062 | 1886 |
| Surface Elo | 2062 | 1886 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.94 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.82 | 1.38 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W 路 0 D |
| 11 Nov | H | Cameron Norrie | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | Carlos Alcaraz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Arthur Fils | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Arthur Fils | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Nov | A | Miomir Kecmanovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | H | Zizou Bergs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Valentin Vacherot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct 2024 | Holger Rune | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| 04 Mar 2024 | Holger Rune | 2 - 1 | Taylor Fritz |
| 20 Mar 2023 | Holger Rune | 0 - 2 | Taylor Fritz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 12 Nov 06:15 |