| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.8% | 56% | -4.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.3% | 55.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.7% | 45.2% |
| logistic | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| Felix Balshaw | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1655 | 1645 |
| Surface Elo | 1655 | 1645 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Matisse Bobichon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Matisse Bobichon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Benjamin Bonzi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Domenc, Mathys | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Jerome Kym | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Felix Balshaw | 1 - 2 | Mika Brunold |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.95 | 51.3% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.79 | 55.9% | 16 Oct 06:15 |