| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.8% | 60% | +3.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 66.2% | 33.8% |
| logistic | 63.2% | 36.8% |
| Lloyd Harris | Juncheng Shang | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1839 | 1733 |
| Surface Elo | 1839 | 1733 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 20 | 23 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | A | Coleman Wong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Alex Bolt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Alexis Galarneau | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Mattia Bellucci | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Alex Bolt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Sebastian Baez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Sebastian Baez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.68 | 59.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |