| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.6% | 56% | -2.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.6% | 83% | -6.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 67.3% | 72% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.5% | 69% | -4.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 27.1% | 25.7% | 47.2% |
| xgboost | 24.9% | 23.2% | 51.9% |
| logistic | 25.0% | 25.9% | 49.0% |
| Boston Utd | Southend | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1425 | 1561 |
| Surface Elo | 1425 | 1561 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.25 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Yeovil | 0 - 6 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Yeovil | 0 - 6 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Halifax | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Sep | A | Halifax | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Fylde | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Fylde | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Fylde | 3 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Eastleigh | 1 - 1 | D |
| 30 Sep | A | Eastleigh | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Barrow | 2 - 4 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Boston Utd | 3 - 3 | Southend |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Southend | 1 - 1 | Boston Utd |
| 25 Mar 2025 | Boston Utd | 3 - 0 | Southend |
| 20 Aug 2024 | Southend | 2 - 0 | Boston Utd |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.78 | 56.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.75 | 26.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.44 | 69.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |