| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 82.6% | 94% | -11.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 12.5% | 87.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 18.7% | 81.3% |
| logistic | 25.9% | 74.1% |
| Yue Yuan | Mirra Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1532 | 1863 |
| Surface Elo | 1532 | 1863 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Oleksandra Oliynykova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Mirra Andreeva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Oleksandra Oliynykova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Dayeon Back | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Dayeon Back | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Nikola Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Daria Snigur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Polina Kudermetova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Mirra Andreeva | 2 - 1 | Yue Yuan |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.06 | 94.3% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 10.00 | 10.0% | 01 Oct 06:15 |