| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.0% | 69% | -3.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.7% | 42.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.5% | 39.4% |
| logistic | 65.8% | 34.2% |
| August Holmgren | Philip Sekulic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1558 | 1606 |
| Surface Elo | 1558 | 1606 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.88 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 5 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | A | Yuta Shimizu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Daniel Michalski | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Yuta Shimizu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Daniel Michalski | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Jay Friend | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Matthew Dellavedova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Blake Ellis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Chen Dong | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Pavle Marinkov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Ethan Cook | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 09 Nov 06:15 |