| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.5% | 63% | -9.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 79.6% | 89% | -9.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 71.4% | 84% | -12.5% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 54% | +5.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 20.5% | 26.4% | 53.1% |
| xgboost | 24.1% | 24.6% | 51.3% |
| logistic | 19.6% | 24.5% | 55.9% |
| Cagliari | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1672 | 1783 |
| Surface Elo | 1672 | 1783 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 22 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 7 W · 2 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Udinese | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Lecce | 1 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Inter | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Parma | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Atalanta | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Sassuolo | 2 - 3 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Ac Milan | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Parma | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Frosinone | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Cagliari | 1 - 0 | Juventus |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Juventus | 2 - 1 | Cagliari |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Cagliari | 0 - 1 | Juventus |
| 06 Oct 2024 | Juventus | 1 - 1 | Cagliari |
| 19 Apr 2024 | Cagliari | 2 - 2 | Juventus |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Juventus | 2 - 1 | Cagliari |
| 09 Apr 2022 | Cagliari | 1 - 2 | Juventus |
| 21 Dec 2021 | Juventus | 2 - 0 | Cagliari |
| 14 Mar 2021 | Cagliari | 1 - 3 | Juventus |
| 21 Nov 2020 | Juventus | 2 - 0 | Cagliari |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.55 | 64.5% | 11 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 11 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 7.00 | 14.3% | 11 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 11 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.80 | 55.6% | 11 Oct 19:45 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.61 | 62.1% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.09 | 24.4% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.42 | 15.6% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.85 | 54.0% | 11 Oct 06:15 |