OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-21
🎾 ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men Singles · Wednesday 21 October 2026, 06:30 UTC · finished
James Duckworth 0.60 2 - 0 0.60 Luciano Darderi
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 55.0%56%-0.6%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov44.7%55.3%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost49.4%50.6%
logistic41.3%58.7%
Inputs the models saw
James DuckworthLuciano Darderi
Elo (pre-match)17401847
Surface Elo17401847
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.60
Form trend-0.600.60
Season points per game1.001.00
Season goals for / game0.670.67
Season goals against / game1.331.33
Rest days210
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
James Duckworth: last 5
21 OctHLuciano Darderi2 - 0W
19 OctAMiomir Kecmanovic2 - 0W
19 OctHMiomir Kecmanovic2 - 0W
12 OctHLiam Draxl0 - 2L
08 OctAHubert Hurkacz0 - 2L
Luciano Darderi: last 5
21 OctAJames Duckworth0 - 2L
10 OctHStefanos Tsitsipas0 - 2L
10 OctHStefanos Tsitsipas0 - 2L
02 OctAKyrian Jacquet0 - 2L
02 OctAKyrian Jacquet0 - 2L
Head to head
21 Oct 2026James Duckworth2 - 0Luciano Darderi
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.8753.5%21 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9850.5%21 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:00 UTC