| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.4% | 79% | -10.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 78.4% | 21.6% |
| logistic | 67.9% | 32.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Julieta Pareja | Barbora Palicova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1554 | 1431 |
| Surface Elo | 1554 | 1431 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Diae El Jardi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Kristina Penickova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Elizabeth Mandlik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Madison Brengle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Mary Stoiana | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Maria Kononova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Elizabeth Mandlik | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Malaika Rapolu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Jazmin Ortenzi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Ekaterine Gorgodze | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.26 | 79.4% | 29 Oct 06:15 |