| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 77.1% | 84% | -6.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 88.1% | 11.9% |
| logistic | 62.2% | 37.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Lucas Andrade Da Silva | Juan Sebastian Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1559 | 1470 |
| Surface Elo | 1559 | 1470 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.17 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Tadeo Meneo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Tristan McCormick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Matteo Covato | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Daniel Salazar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Echazu, M | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Nicolas Hollender | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Miles Clark | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Felipe De Dios | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Dorokhov, Ivan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Jul | A | Eduardo Ribeiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.19 | 84.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |