| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prediction run for this match yet. | |||||
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| – | |||
| Rio Ave | Estrela | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1474 | 1491 |
| Surface Elo | 1474 | 1491 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.22 | 0.94 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.13 | 0.99 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.37 | 1.57 |
| Rest days | 8 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 06 Sep | A | Santa Clara | 0 - 4 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | Sp Lisbon | 0 - 4 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Estoril | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Porto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Aug | A | Gil Vicente | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Sep | H | Sp Braga | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Famalicao | 2 - 2 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Nacional | 3 - 2 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Alverca | 2 - 2 | D |
| 08 Aug | H | Sp Lisbon | 2 - 2 | D |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Rio Ave | 2 - 1 | Estrela |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Estrela | 1 - 2 | Rio Ave |
| 05 May 2025 | Rio Ave | 2 - 0 | Estrela |
| 23 Dec 2024 | Estrela | 1 - 0 | Rio Ave |
| 14 Apr 2024 | Estrela | 2 - 2 | Rio Ave |
| 02 Dec 2023 | Rio Ave | 1 - 1 | Estrela |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 14 Sep 18:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 14 Sep 18:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 14 Sep 18:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.03 | 49.3% | 14 Sep 18:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.83 | 54.6% | 14 Sep 18:45 |