OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ Germany Bundesliga · Sunday 08 November 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Freiburg 1.40 2 - 0 1.20 Union Berlin
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 57.0%66%-9.3%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 80.3%87%-6.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 73.6%83%-9.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 54.9%43%+12.3%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 52.1%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson55.4%24.0%20.7%
xgboost55.0%24.0%21.0%
logistic59.3%24.5%16.2%
Inputs the models saw
FreiburgUnion Berlin
Elo (pre-match)16751555
Surface Elo16751555
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.20
Form trend-0.100.00
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.500.75
Season goals against / game1.750.50
Rest days87
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W5 W · 4 D
Freiburg: last 5
05 NovATrabzonspor1 - 0W
31 OctAAugsburg2 - 1W
31 OctAAugsburg2 - 1W
28 OctHWolfsburg3 - 2W
25 OctHBayern München1 - 3L
Union Berlin: last 5
01 NovHFC Koln1 - 1D
01 NovHFC Koln1 - 1D
27 OctAFC Koln0 - 5L
24 OctAAugsburg1 - 1D
24 OctAAugsburg1 - 1D
Head to head
15 Mar 2026Freiburg0 - 1Union Berlin
01 Nov 2025Union Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
30 Mar 2025Freiburg1 - 2Union Berlin
08 Nov 2024Union Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
18 May 2024Union Berlin2 - 1Freiburg
13 Jan 2024Freiburg0 - 0Union Berlin
13 May 2023Union Berlin4 - 2Freiburg
13 Nov 2022Freiburg4 - 1Union Berlin
07 May 2022Freiburg1 - 4Union Berlin
15 Dec 2021Union Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away6.2716.0%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.7920.9%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5166.2%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6162.1%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3542.5%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC