| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.3% | 52% | -3.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.4% | 33.6% |
| xgboost | 32.4% | 65.6% |
| logistic | 56.4% | 43.6% |
| Ottawa Senators | St. Louis Blues | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1577 | 1526 |
| Surface Elo | 1577 | 1526 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.83 | 0.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.17 | 2.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | New Jersey Devils | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Nashville Predators | 3 - 2 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 5 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Boston Bruins | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 - 3 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | San Jose Sharks | 2 - 3 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Chicago Blackhawks | 2 - 4 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Colorado Avalanche | 1 - 6 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Dallas Stars | 4 - 0 | W |
| 07 Dec 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 2 | St. Louis Blues |
| 28 Nov 2025 | St. Louis Blues | 4 - 3 | Ottawa Senators |
| 04 Jan 2025 | St. Louis Blues | 4 - 0 | Ottawa Senators |
| 29 Oct 2024 | Ottawa Senators | 8 - 1 | St. Louis Blues |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.99 | 50.3% | 13 Oct 20:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.92 | 52.1% | 13 Oct 20:20 |