OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Portugal Liga Portugal · Saturday 24 October 2026, 19:30 UTC · finished
Gil Vicente 1.40 0 - 1 3.00 Porto
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 56.9%67%-10.2%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 82.8%89%-6.0%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 76.1%85%-8.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 56.2%51%+5.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 50.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson16.4%26.2%57.3%
xgboost22.4%19.0%58.6%
logistic14.4%23.8%61.8%
Inputs the models saw
Gil VicentePorto
Elo (pre-match)15591880
Surface Elo15591880
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.403.00
Form trend-0.900.00
Season points per game2.003.00
Season goals for / game1.002.50
Season goals against / game0.501.00
Rest days514
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W6 W · 2 D
Gil Vicente: last 5
19 OctASp Braga2 - 1W
09 OctAMoreirense1 - 0W
09 OctAMoreirense1 - 0W
19 SepHMaritimo1 - 1D
19 SepHMaritimo1 - 1D
Porto: last 5
20 OctHPSV Eindhoven0 - 1L
14 OctABetis2 - 3L
10 OctAMaritimo2 - 1W
10 OctAMaritimo2 - 1W
10 OctALeixoes SC2 - 1W
Head to head
26 Jan 2026Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente
18 Aug 2025Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
19 Jan 2025Gil Vicente3 - 1Porto
10 Aug 2024Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente
25 Feb 2024Gil Vicente1 - 1Porto
23 Sep 2023Porto2 - 1Gil Vicente
26 Feb 2023Porto1 - 2Gil Vicente
03 Sep 2022Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
27 Feb 2022Porto1 - 1Gil Vicente
24 Sep 2021Gil Vicente1 - 2Porto
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.4967.1%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.6221.6%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home6.9914.3%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8853.2%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9750.8%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC