| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 82.7% | 84% | -1.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 19.3% | 80.6% |
| logistic | 20.9% | 79.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Rahmani, Kasra | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1544 | 1654 |
| Surface Elo | 1544 | 1654 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Aziz Dougaz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Emilien Demanet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Christian Djonov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Liam Gavrielides | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Wissam Abderrahman | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Duje Ajdukovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | John Echeverria | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Mae Malige | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Thiago Monteiro | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.17 | 85.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.60 | 21.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |