| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.5% | 50% | +4.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 55.1% | 44.8% |
| logistic | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| Vitaliy Sachko | Thiago Monteiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1663 | 1632 |
| Surface Elo | 1663 | 1632 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Thiago Monteiro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Filip Cristian Jianu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Mika Brunold | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Matias Soto | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Marko Topo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Marco Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Diego Dedura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Vitaliy Sachko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Stefano Travaglia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 1 | Vitaliy Sachko |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.75 | 57.1% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 16 Sep 06:15 |