| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.3% | 72% | -24.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.9% | 84% | -10.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.5% | 94% | -32.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 44.8% | 54% | -9.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 49.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.9% | 29.3% | 27.8% |
| xgboost | 38.8% | 27.5% | 33.7% |
| logistic | 34.6% | 30.0% | 35.4% |
| Bari | Cosenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1407 | 1357 |
| Surface Elo | 1407 | 1357 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 140 | 500 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 19 Sep | A | ASD Sorrento 1945 | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Palermo | 2 - 2 | D |
| 08 May | A | Catanzaro | 3 - 2 | W |
| 01 May | H | Virtus Entella | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Apr | A | Avellino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Scafatese Calcio 1922 | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 May | A | Spezia | 1 - 3 | L |
| 09 May | H | Cesena | 0 - 1 | L |
| 04 May | A | Sudtirol | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 May | H | Bari | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 May 2025 | Cosenza | 1 - 0 | Bari |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Bari | 1 - 1 | Cosenza |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Cosenza | 4 - 1 | Bari |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Bari | 0 - 0 | Cosenza |
| 12 Feb 2023 | Bari | 2 - 1 | Cosenza |
| 10 Sep 2022 | Cosenza | 0 - 1 | Bari |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.40 | 11.9% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.86 | 53.8% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.84 | 54.4% | 24 Sep 06:15 |