| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.9% | 65% | -14.2% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.2% | 54.7% |
| logistic | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Hubert Hurkacz | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2018 | 2020 |
| Surface Elo | 2018 | 2020 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.31 | 1.71 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.54 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.77 | 0.86 |
| Rest days | 12 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W 路 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Yi Zhou | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Yi Zhou | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Novak Djokovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Jan Lennard Struff | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Rodrigo Alujas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Alex Michelsen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Alex Michelsen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jul 2024 | Arthur Fils | 2 - 1 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |