| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.7% | 62% | -6.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.8% | 43.1% |
| logistic | 53.9% | 46.1% |
| Felix Balshaw | Ugo Blanchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1666 | 1603 |
| Surface Elo | 1666 | 1603 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.91 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 1.18 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.29 | 0.73 |
| Rest days | 5 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | A | Corentin Moutet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Corentin Moutet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Jaime Faria | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jaime Faria | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Vadym Ursu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Samir Hamza Reguig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Jerome Kym | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Tom Paris | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.62 | 61.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |