OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-09
⚽ Turkiye Super Lig · Friday 09 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished
Galatasaray 2.40 3 - 1 1.80 Kasimpasa
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 63.2%78%-14.3%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 87.4%93%-6.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 82.0%92%-9.7%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61.3%68%-6.9%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 59.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson73.6%16.2%10.2%
xgboost66.7%21.8%11.5%
logistic80.8%13.8%5.4%
Inputs the models saw
GalatasarayKasimpasa
Elo (pre-match)18281565
Surface Elo18281565
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.401.80
Form trend0.600.20
Season points per game0.001.50
Season goals for / game0.001.50
Season goals against / game4.001.50
Rest days2020
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W2 W · 3 D
Galatasaray: last 5
19 SepATrabzonspor0 - 4L
19 SepATrabzonspor0 - 4L
13 SepHKocaelispor1 - 0W
04 SepABuyuksehyr3 - 2W
29 AugHGoztep3 - 2W
Kasimpasa: last 5
18 SepHKonyaspor0 - 0D
13 SepAGenclerbirligi2 - 1W
06 SepHAmedspor2 - 2D
30 AugABuyuksehyr1 - 1D
22 AugACorum1 - 0W
Head to head
17 May 2026Kasimpasa1 - 0Galatasaray
21 Dec 2025Galatasaray3 - 0Kasimpasa
02 Mar 2025Kasimpasa3 - 3Galatasaray
28 Sep 2024Galatasaray3 - 3Kasimpasa
17 Mar 2024Kasimpasa3 - 4Galatasaray
03 Nov 2023Galatasaray2 - 1Kasimpasa
11 Mar 2023Galatasaray1 - 0Kasimpasa
11 Sep 2022Kasimpasa2 - 3Galatasaray
20 Jan 2022Galatasaray1 - 3Kasimpasa
29 Aug 2021Kasimpasa2 - 2Galatasaray
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away9.7010.3%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw6.1416.3%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.3176.3%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4967.1%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.7037.0%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:25 UTC