| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 72.8% | 80% | -7.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.6% | 31.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 83.3% | 16.7% |
| logistic | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| Murphy Cassone | Patrick Zahraj | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1557 | 1413 |
| Surface Elo | 1557 | 1413 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 56 | 28 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniel Masur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Billy Harris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Clement Tabur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Car, Hugo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Mathys Erhard | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Patrick Brady | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Mika Brunold | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | A | Maxim Zhukov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | A | Maxime Chazal | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.75 | 26.7% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.25 | 80.0% | 21 Sep 06:15 |