| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.3% | 47% | +4.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| logistic | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Liam Gavrielides | Rahmani, Kasra | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1500 | 1566 |
| Surface Elo | 1500 | 1566 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.18 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.45 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 0.64 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Robin Bertrand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Massellani, Simone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Lilian Marmousez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Josh Manuel | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Feb | H | Max Hans Rehberg | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Makhlouf, Nazim | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Lars Goran Verwerft | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Vaclav Schneider | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Luca Castagnola | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.63 | 61.4% | 25 Oct 06:15 |