| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 71.0% | 78% | -7.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.2% | 61.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 30.7% | 69.2% |
| logistic | 27.9% | 72.1% |
| Sumit Nagal | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1603 | 1777 |
| Surface Elo | 1603 | 1777 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 6 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Henrique Rocha | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Jan Kumstat | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | August Holmgren | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Mili Poljicak | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Cezar Cretu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Henrique Rocha | 1 - 2 | Sumit Nagal |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.28 | 78.1% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.45 | 29.0% | 12 Oct 06:15 |