| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.6% | 63% | +6.7% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.8% | 36.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 59.4% | 40.5% |
| logistic | 69.6% | 30.4% |
| Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | Gonzalo Bueno | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1780 | 1657 |
| Surface Elo | 1780 | 1657 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.54 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.62 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.38 | 0.90 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W 路 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Zdenek Kolar | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Elmer Moller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Elmer Moller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | H | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Nov | H | Lautaro Midon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Gonzalo Bueno | 2 - 0 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva |
| 21 Jul 2025 | Gonzalo Bueno | 0 - 2 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva |
| 09 Jun 2025 | Gonzalo Bueno | 0 - 2 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva |
| 10 Jun 2024 | Gonzalo Bueno | 0 - 2 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva |
| 08 Jan 2024 | Gonzalo Bueno | 2 - 0 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva |
| 20 Nov 2023 | Gonzalo Bueno | 0 - 2 | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.56 | 64.1% | 12 Nov 06:15 |