| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.0% | 50% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 72.5% | 80% | -7.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.5% | 70% | -7.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 51% | +4.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.8% | 30.2% | 26.0% |
| xgboost | 44.0% | 27.6% | 28.4% |
| logistic | 40.2% | 28.6% | 31.2% |
| Eibar | Las Palmas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1581 | 1557 |
| Surface Elo | 1581 | 1557 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 27 Sep | H | SD Compostela | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Ourense CF | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Eldense | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Eldense | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | SD Erandio Club | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Burgos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Burgos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | CD Linares | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Cadiz | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | H | Leganes | 0 - 0 | D |
| 29 Mar 2026 | Eibar | 3 - 1 | Las Palmas |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Las Palmas | 3 - 1 | Eibar |
| 08 May 2023 | Eibar | 0 - 1 | Las Palmas |
| 06 Nov 2022 | Las Palmas | 1 - 1 | Eibar |
| 15 Apr 2022 | Eibar | 2 - 2 | Las Palmas |
| 18 Dec 2021 | Las Palmas | 0 - 1 | Eibar |
| 12 May 2018 | Eibar | 1 - 0 | Las Palmas |
| 06 Jan 2018 | Las Palmas | 1 - 2 | Eibar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.99 | 50.2% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.96 | 51.0% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.79 | 55.9% | 25 Sep 06:15 |