| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.5% | 64% | -7.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.5% | 36.4% |
| logistic | 56.8% | 43.2% |
| Arthur Fery | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1805 | 1736 |
| Surface Elo | 1805 | 1736 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 11 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Karen Khachanov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Marin Cilic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Ignacio Buse | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | James Duckworth | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Dillon Beckles | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Vitaliy Sachko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Jack Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Philip Henning | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.56 | 64.1% | 20 Oct 06:15 |