| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win selected | 63.3% | 58% | +5.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 25.4% | 74.6% |
| logistic | 41.3% | 58.7% |
| Tyler Zink | Federico Agustin Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1470 | 1576 |
| Surface Elo | 1470 | 1576 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Federico Agustin Gomez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Valentin Royer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Tyler Zink | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Daniel Milavsky | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Federico Agustin Gomez | 2 - 0 | Tyler Zink |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.75 | 57.1% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 22 Sep 06:15 |