| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.5% | 55% | +0.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 61.1% | 38.9% |
| logistic | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| Jasmine Paolini | Sonay Kartal | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1713 | 1695 |
| Surface Elo | 1713 | 1695 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Sara Bejlek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Nikola Bartunkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sara Bejlek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Daria Snigur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Belinda Bencic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Anhelina Kalinina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Maja Chwalinska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Jasmine Paolini | 0 - 2 | Sonay Kartal |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.81 | 55.2% | 15 Oct 06:15 |