| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.5% | 49% | -1.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.2% | 79% | -3.1% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.6% | 69% | -5.7% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 61% | -7.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 48.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 40.5% | 33.5% | 25.9% |
| xgboost | 46.0% | 27.4% | 26.6% |
| logistic | 46.6% | 28.0% | 25.4% |
| Alanyaspor | Kocaelispor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1553 | 1515 |
| Surface Elo | 1553 | 1515 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Fenerbahce | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Fenerbahce | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Erzurumspor | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Erzurumspor | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Corum | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Goztep | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Goztepe Izmir | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Besiktas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Besiktas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Gaziantep | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Mar 2026 | Alanyaspor | 5 - 0 | Kocaelispor |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Kocaelispor | 2 - 0 | Alanyaspor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.15 | 24.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.36 | 29.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.04 | 49.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.30 | 43.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.66 | 60.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |