| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.4% | 69% | -16.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 38.4% | 61.5% |
| logistic | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Johan Alexander Rodriguez | Giles Hussey | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1555 | 1588 |
| Surface Elo | 1555 | 1588 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 15 | 15 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Carel Aubriel Ngounoue | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Jonah Braswell | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Alejandro Melero Kretzer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Jerry Roddick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | A | Alan Magadan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Amar Tahirovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Jun | H | William Manning | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Jun | H | Quentin Halys | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Jun | H | Matteo Arnaldi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Jun | H | Philip Henning | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 28 Oct 06:15 |