OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ England League One · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Reading 1.60 2 - 1 0.20 Barnsley
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 54.2%62%-7.9%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 80.4%84%-4.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 72.2%79%-6.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.6%69%-10.4%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 53.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson54.0%22.1%23.9%
xgboost61.3%22.6%16.1%
logistic49.6%28.1%22.2%
Inputs the models saw
ReadingBarnsley
Elo (pre-match)15271421
Surface Elo15271421
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.600.20
Form trend-0.300.10
Season points per game1.830.25
Season goals for / game1.831.00
Season goals against / game0.832.00
Rest days23
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W3 W · 5 D
Reading: last 5
21 OctHLeyton Orient1 - 0W
21 OctHLeyton Orient1 - 0W
17 OctAWigan0 - 1L
17 OctAWigan0 - 1L
13 OctHChelsea0 - 2L
Barnsley: last 5
20 OctALuton1 - 2L
20 OctALuton1 - 2L
17 OctHCambridge1 - 2L
17 OctHCambridge1 - 2L
10 OctAStockport1 - 3L
Head to head
24 Jan 2026Reading2 - 2Barnsley
13 Sep 2025Barnsley3 - 2Reading
03 May 2025Reading2 - 4Barnsley
26 Nov 2024Barnsley2 - 2Reading
13 Apr 2024Barnsley2 - 2Reading
09 Dec 2023Reading1 - 3Barnsley
02 Apr 2022Barnsley1 - 1Reading
16 Oct 2021Reading1 - 0Barnsley
02 Apr 2021Barnsley1 - 1Reading
19 Sep 2020Reading2 - 0Barnsley
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.8020.8%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.5022.2%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6162.1%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4569.0%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.7037.0%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:20 UTC