| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.6% | 45% | +0.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.2% | 73% | +1.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 58.1% | 63% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 53% | +8.0% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.8% | 26.8% | 27.4% |
| xgboost | 38.9% | 25.8% | 35.3% |
| logistic | 39.6% | 29.0% | 31.3% |
| Torino | Monza | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1637 | 1575 |
| Surface Elo | 1637 | 1575 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 0 W · 3 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Parma | 3 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Udinese | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Bologna | 1 - 1 | D |
| 14 Sep | H | Roma | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Fiorentina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Cagliari | 4 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Cagliari | 4 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Lazio | 1 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Lazio | 1 - 3 | L |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Monza | 0 - 2 | Torino |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Torino | 1 - 1 | Monza |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Torino | 1 - 0 | Monza |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Monza | 1 - 1 | Torino |
| 07 May 2023 | Torino | 1 - 1 | Monza |
| 13 Aug 2022 | Monza | 1 - 2 | Torino |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.57 | 28.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.54 | 28.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.19 | 45.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.87 | 53.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.98 | 50.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |