| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.8% | 68% | -9.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.9% | 38.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 57.6% | 42.4% |
| logistic | 52.5% | 47.5% |
| Max Hans Rehberg | Mili Poljicak | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1653 | 1620 |
| Surface Elo | 1653 | 1620 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | A | Hynek Barton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Daniel Cukierman | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Andrey Chepelev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Vanshelboim, E | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Patrick Brady | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Max Basing | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Max Basing | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.48 | 67.6% | 05 Oct 06:15 |