| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 83.7% | 81% | +2.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 28.5% | 71.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 13.1% | 86.8% |
| logistic | 23.6% | 76.4% |
| Cyril Vandermeersch | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1435 | 1556 |
| Surface Elo | 1435 | 1556 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.86 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 111 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Jul | H | Paul Inchauspe | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Jul | H | Hugo Grenier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Feb | H | Enrico Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Feb | H | Radu Albot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Mar | A | Dillon Beckles | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 0 - 1 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Matt Ponchet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Leonardo Rossi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Patrick Brady | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.23 | 81.3% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.90 | 25.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |