OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-18
⚽ Greece Super League · Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:30 UTC · finished
Panathinaikos 2.40 5 - 1 1.00 Asteras Tripolis
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 62.8%82%-19.2%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 88.0%98%-9.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 84.2%96%-12.1%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 56.2%45%+10.7%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 51.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson68.8%20.6%10.7%
xgboost67.1%20.0%12.9%
logistic68.8%20.2%11.1%
Inputs the models saw
PanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis
Elo (pre-match)17321478
Surface Elo17321478
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.401.00
Form trend0.60-0.70
Season points per game1.502.00
Season goals for / game0.502.00
Season goals against / game0.501.50
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W4 W · 0 D
Panathinaikos: last 5
15 OctHFK Borac Banja Luka2 - 1W
11 OctAOlympiacos0 - 1L
11 OctAOlympiakos0 - 1L
20 SepAKalamata1 - 0W
20 SepAPAE PS Kalamata1 - 0W
Asteras Tripolis: last 5
17 OctHAPS Zakynthos1 - 1D
11 OctAOlympiacos1 - 1D
10 OctHAtromitos2 - 1W
10 OctHAtromitos2 - 1W
04 OctHAnagennisi Karditsas 19042 - 0W
Head to head
22 Mar 2026Asteras Tripolis1 - 2Panathinaikos
26 Oct 2025Panathinaikos2 - 0Asteras Tripolis
08 Dec 2024Asteras Tripolis0 - 1Panathinaikos
18 Aug 2024Panathinaikos0 - 1Asteras Tripolis
21 Jan 2024Panathinaikos2 - 0Asteras Tripolis
28 Sep 2023Asteras Tripolis1 - 4Panathinaikos
30 Jan 2023Asteras Tripolis1 - 0Panathinaikos
09 Oct 2022Panathinaikos1 - 0Asteras Tripolis
29 Jan 2022Panathinaikos0 - 1Asteras Tripolis
23 Oct 2021Asteras Tripolis2 - 1Panathinaikos
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away13.007.7%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw6.4015.6%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.2282.0%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6660.2%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC