| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.3% | 61% | -6.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 30.4% | 54.8% |
| xgboost | 38.3% | 59.7% |
| logistic | 41.1% | 58.9% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | Pittsburgh Penguins | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1351 | 1512 |
| Surface Elo | 1351 | 1512 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.17 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 4.33 | 2.83 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 5 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | New York Islanders | 1 - 4 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 4 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Buffalo Sabres | 3 - 4 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 0 - 6 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Dallas Stars | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2 - 3 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Washington Capitals | 3 - 5 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Montréal Canadiens | 6 - 5 | W |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 6 - 2 | Chicago Blackhawks |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Chicago Blackhawks | 3 - 7 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 08 Apr 2025 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 0 | Chicago Blackhawks |
| 06 Apr 2025 | Chicago Blackhawks | 3 - 1 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 13 Oct 20:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 13 Oct 20:20 |