OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-11

🎾 tennis_atp_shanghai_masters · Sunday 11 October 2026, 10:00 UTC · scheduled

Alexander Zverev 2.40 10:00 1.80 Quentin Halys

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	83.1%	88%	-4.7%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.1%	35.2%
xgboost	86.2%	13.7%
logistic	78.2%	21.8%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Alexander Zverev	Quentin Halys
Elo (pre-match)	2173	1854
Surface Elo	2173	1854
Form, last 5 (PPG)	2.40	1.80
Form trend	0.30	-0.60
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	2	2
Head-to-head (last 10)	3 W	0 W · 0 D

Alexander Zverev: last 5

11 Oct	H	Quentin Halys	2 - 1	W
09 Oct	H	Yibing Wu	2 - 0	W
09 Oct	H	Yibing Wu	2 - 0	W
04 Oct	H	Novak Djokovic	1 - 2	L
04 Oct	H	Novak Djokovic	1 - 2	L

Quentin Halys: last 5

11 Oct	A	Alexander Zverev	1 - 2	L
09 Oct	H	Alexander Blockx	2 - 1	W
09 Oct	A	Alexander Blockx	2 - 1	W
07 Oct	H	Coleman Wong	2 - 0	W
07 Oct	A	Coleman Wong	2 - 0	W

Head to head

11 Oct 2026	Alexander Zverev	2 - 1	Quentin Halys
03 Sep 2026	Alexander Zverev	3 - 2	Quentin Halys
30 May 2026	Alexander Zverev	3 - 1	Quentin Halys
25 Mar 2026	Alexander Zverev	2 - 0	Quentin Halys

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.14	87.7%	11 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Quentin Halys	6.02	16.6%	11 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.10	90.9%	11 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Quentin Halys	7.00	14.3%	11 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.10	90.9%	11 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Quentin Halys	6.95	14.4%	11 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.16	86.2%	11 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Quentin Halys	6.80	14.7%	11 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Alexander Zverev	1.17	85.5%	11 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Quentin Halys	7.20	13.9%	11 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.14	87.7%	11 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Quentin Halys	6.05	16.5%	11 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.13	88.5%	11 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Quentin Halys	6.00	16.7%	11 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.14	87.7%	11 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Quentin Halys	5.80	17.2%	11 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.16	86.2%	11 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Quentin Halys	5.87	17.0%	11 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.14	87.7%	11 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Quentin Halys	5.75	17.4%	11 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.16	86.2%	11 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Quentin Halys	6.80	14.7%	11 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Alexander Zverev	1.17	85.5%	11 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Quentin Halys	7.20	13.9%	11 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.13	88.5%	11 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Quentin Halys	6.00	16.7%	11 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.14	87.7%	11 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Quentin Halys	6.53	15.3%	11 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.10	90.9%	11 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Quentin Halys	5.30	18.9%	11 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	6.25	16.0%	11 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.14	87.7%	11 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.10	90.9%	11 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Quentin Halys	5.70	17.5%	11 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.11	90.1%	11 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Quentin Halys	5.30	18.9%	11 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.14	87.7%	11 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Quentin Halys	5.75	17.4%	11 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.14	87.7%	11 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Quentin Halys	5.75	17.4%	11 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.10	90.9%	11 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Quentin Halys	7.00	14.3%	11 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.13	88.5%	11 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Quentin Halys	6.50	15.4%	11 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Alexander Zverev	1.12	89.3%	11 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Quentin Halys	6.00	16.7%	11 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 18:19 UTC